Roi Tov: American Attack on Syria Announced by Israel
"On the Way to the Attack"
Yediot Ahronot, August 26, 2013
The banner above was the main headline of Yediot Ahronot—the largest paid Hebrew newspaper—on August 26, 2013. The text reads "On the Way to the Attack" and shows images of USA's President Obama and Syria's President Assad.
The article it illustrated wasn't about the ongoing violence in Syria, but one describing the details of an American-British attack on Syria.
Wagging the Dog*
On April 28, 2013, there was a 4-hour long meeting of the Israeli Cabinet,** which according to official sources was the first one of the new Netanyahu's government to deal with the War in Syria. The decisions taken were not published; however, a significant part of the IDF Intelligence Directorate (AMAN) assessment was published, in an attempt to manipulate public opinion.
Winds of War
On April 29, much of Aman's proposed plan for an American War on Syria were published by Haaretz, an Israeli newspaper closely related to the Shin Beth. The newspaper cited Brigadier General Ytai Brun, Head of Aman-Research, the most strategic part of this organization.
Understandably, he couldn't speak for the actions of an army belonging to a different country. Yet, even the details published are significant since they are directly related to the survival of 75,000 Americans and millions of people in the Middle East.
The main problem faced by Israel, is that the red-line endlessly cited by Western media, namely the use of chemical weapons, would not be crossed by the Syrian government. Thus, Aman has redefined the issue as "two entwined red-lines." It claims that beyond the use of chemical weapons, there is a second line, the Syrian "lose of control of its chemical weapons depots and production sites." AMAN proposed a massive American ground attack on Syria.
On April 28, Former Mossad Director Meir Dagan (he recently survived a liver transplant in Belarus, no other country agreed to treat him) said during the Jerusalem Post Annual Conference in New York that Bashar al-Assad didn't sanction the use of chemical weapons. Dagan may have committed many war crimes along the years, but he is not a fool. He understands that the claim that Assad used chemical weapons "doesn't hold water" (Hebrew idiom for a false argument, like a bag full of holes). Yet, the IDF wants an American Holy-Democracy Attack on Syria.
One decade after the Mother of All Battles, Israel is again attempting to wag the dog.*
The Grandmother of All Battles
Obama Options on Syria according to Israel
Did you know? AMAN: Iran, Turkey and Israel fight Egypt
Unaware of its inconsistency, Yediot Ahronot claimed on the same article that Bashar al-Assad is winning (this is true, see Syrian-Kurds Exodus = Assad's Victory?) and a few lines later that he "had used chemical weapons out of despair." Any trick is kosher in the attempt to wag the dog into the Grandmother of All Battles.
After thinking that its propaganda had convinced the readers, the newspaper continued by portraying President Obama's options. It used the graphic reproduced above. Let's review what Israel recommends Obama:
1. Air strike on the units that attacked with chemical weapons. Disadvantage: Time is needed to collect intelligence.
2. Air strike on Syrian air force and ballistic missiles units. Disadvantage: Sinking in the Syrian mud.
3. Enforcement of a non-fly area in Syria. Disadvantage: It will not neutralize Syrian artillery (many times stronger than the Israeli).
4. Taking control of chemical weapons depots. Disadvantage: It demands a ground attack and the Americans oppose.
Then the Israeli article, which looks written by the military intelligence, goes on describing the desired attack. Also in this case, it published a very graphical depiction of the event. Here it is:
American-British Attack Desired by Israel
It marks the main chemical warehouses in Syria, and the American-British forces Israel wants to use in order to destroy them. Cyprus (the British Colonial Empire still owns two air-force bases on the island) and Jordan would provide the military bases needed for air-strikes to be conducted by American F-16 and British Tornado fighters. Tomahawk missiles would be launched by American and British war ships while British Trafalgar class nuclear submarines will fill an undisclosed task.
Most veterans will recognize this as a schematic Order of Battle.
Bashar al-Assad Reacts
These are strange times. An Order of Battle is made public by one side of the conflict before the battle while the other side reacts publicly on the same day. How would Sun Tzu have reacted on this ridicule?
Russian Izvestia published an impressive interview with Bashar al-Assad. Let me just quote a few remarkable sentences:
"From the beginning of the crisis, the USA, the UK, and France have tried to get militarily involved. They tried to change the positions of China and Russia in the UN Security Council, but they failed. They failed to convince the world that this is an intelligent step. They can open a war, but they know neither how long will it be nor to which areas will it expand. They understand that they have no control on that. What is going on in Syria is not a popular revolution, but terror. Western leaders cannot tell their people: 'We enter Syria to support terror.'"
"Failure awaits America as it has happened in all its wars from Vietnam onwards." He is mistaken. The USA utterly defeated Grenada.
"Why Israel opens fire against our forces every time we defeat the terrorists next to the border?"
The claims on the use of chemical weapons by the Syrian Government were defined by Assad as "an insult to the intelligence. It is nonsense. First, they put you on trial and only after they collect evidence…. On Wednesday, we were blamed, and only two days later the USA announced it would start to collect evidence." This is not the first time that the American Government displays a misunderstanding of the term "evidence" (Iran Shows Captured Drone; USA Claims "No Evidence").
Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergey Lavrov has also publicly denied the existence of proofs that Syria had used chemical weapons. The Western mercenaries are the most likely users.
Certain things could not be said openly by Bashar al-Assad; luckily, this diplomatic limitation has been solved eons ago. Halef al-Maftah, a senior member of Assad's party who until recently was the assistant of the ministry responsible for PR, gave on the same day an interview to American Radio Sawa in Arabic. He explained the mysterious hints in the Assad interview:
"Damascus considers that Israel is behind the violence and thus it will be under fire. We have strategic weapons, and we can react. Basically, the strategic weapons are aimed at Israel. If the USA or Israel will commit the error of attacking us using the chemical issue as justification, the entire area will experience unending fire."
* "Wag the Dog" is a 1997 film starring Robert De Niro and Dustin Hoffman, which describes a situation in which the "tail wags the dog." An unnamed President of the United States is caught in flagrante with a young girl scout less than two weeks before the elections and a hired political gun (De Niro) is brought in to take the public attention away from the scandal. He decides to construct a fake war with Albania, hoping the media will concentrate on this instead.
Wag the Dog | Staging a War
Yet, after the Israeli public was convinced that the weapons existed, the second stage of the campaign began. Analysts working for the main Israeli newspapers claimed Israel should adopt the same tactic used by Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir during the Mother of All Battles, namely the First Gulf War. It should let the US destroy the perceived enemy.
The reality was that Israel could not attack. In sharp contrast to what most media publishes, Israel is unable to conduct an ongoing military operation against Iraq. Simply, after the first air-strike, all the forces surrounding Israel would join efforts in averting the strikes. Israel has only one advantage; the possibility of surprising Iran with an air strike. Even that is questionable; only missiles can nowadays reach faraway targets fast enough to keep the surprise factor. After the initial strike, the game changes dramatically.
Following these publications, pressure was put on the Jewish community and organizations in the US to help protect Israel against Iraq. Subsequently, the US attacked Iraq in 2003, without even declaring war.
The tail had wagged the dog.
** A long time ago, Israeli Prime Ministers discovered that their governments are dysfunctional. They are large and plagued with coalitional interests. The temptations to publish secret deliberations by ministers who know that they cannot be fired are significant. Thus, they created the "Cabinet" a small and informal body of ministers who meet regularly to take decisions delicate issues. Ministers wishing to keep their place in this exclusive body are forced to remain silent.
Source: Roi Tov